Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.454358 0.495289 0.539739 0.591861 0.651643 0.718480 0.799438
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.373441 0.431355 0.499969 0.588591 0.702066 0.845476 1.045563
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.323243 0.389931 0.474408 0.592418 0.758535 0.993600 1.371556
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.283633 0.353184 0.445805 0.583328 0.792507 1.119059 1.719188
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.262236 0.335958 0.438704 0.600301 0.865597 1.324444 2.305495
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.236897 0.309456 0.413826 0.584865 0.882014 1.438741 2.791542
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.213212 0.282418 0.384259 0.556289 0.868265 1.490851 3.176176
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.194028 0.259973 0.358875 0.530277 0.852862 1.533985 3.576661
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.185581 0.252613 0.355822 0.541282 0.909595 1.756245 4.755157
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.181857 0.251945 0.363110 0.571378 1.012355 2.140324 7.189798
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.173456 0.243140 0.355890 0.573260 1.054821 2.388513 9.656839
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.163662 0.231328 0.342382 0.560965 1.061718 2.536061 12.038213
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.154165 0.219714 0.328836 0.548168 1.068299 2.703080 15.551315
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146204 0.210209 0.318393 0.540833 1.088860 2.945502 21.845750
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.140221 0.203592 0.312546 0.542424 1.134483 3.332137 35.884926
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.133429 0.195136 0.302581 0.533716 1.149670 3.610321 56.378134
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.130203 0.192514 0.303125 0.548318 1.238013 4.353431 161.128969
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.123883 0.184115 0.292016 0.534661 1.235488 4.608210 331.084799
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.116743 0.173909 0.276740 0.509504 1.190040 4.564727 494.982218
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.110362 0.164749 0.262951 0.486566 1.147700 4.518930 788.805301
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.108039 0.162649 0.262749 0.496263 1.219167 5.373743 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.107547 0.163771 0.268970 0.522742 1.361793 7.170417 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.104614 0.160283 0.265609 0.524394 1.412345 8.301886 NaN